Yield and Time

Most fixed on-chain rates pay more than a similar-length US government rate, but the middle extra payment is only 5.1 percentage points.

This page asks what each yield is paying you for. It compares the rate with time, the size of the market and a government bond of similar length, then removes the largest venue before judging the opportunity.

RATE
TIME
a higher number can hide a longer lock or a thinner exit
Middle fixed on-chain rate9.0%Across 38 markets
Money-weighted fixed rate10.4%Larger markets count more
Middle stablecoin base rate3.6%Large lending pools
Ethereum staking rate2.2%Representative base yield
Three-month government rate4.1%Closest low-risk comparison
Ten-year government rate4.9%Long government rate
Government curve gap+0.82 ptsTen year minus three month
On-chain rates below government5 of 38Similar time comparison
Middle extra payment+5.1 ptsOn-chain minus government
Short-term on-chain rate9.2%90 days or less
Longer-term on-chain rate5.4%More than 180 days
Time premium-3.8 ptsLonger minus short
Value across fixed markets$200.3mnScreened liquidity
Top five share54.8%Concentration check
Largest fixed marketUSDai$50.3mn
Rate on largest market9.8%25 days
Middle futures payment+10.7%Annualised; can flip quickly
Highest futures paymentETH+11.0%
Positive futures markets4 of 4Long traders paying shorts

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What are you being paid for?

A rate can pay for borrower demand, locking money, taking token risk or accepting a thin exit. The page compares the number with time and market size before calling it attractive.

Fixed marketTime leftFixed rateGovernment rateExtra paymentValue available
USDai25 days9.8%4.0%+5.8 pts$50.3mn
apyUSD46 days14.4%4.0%+10.4 pts$19.8mn
SIERRA32 days8.7%4.0%+4.7 pts$14.8mn
sUSDai25 days11.6%4.0%+7.6 pts$13.0mn
reUSD81 days11.1%4.1%+6.9 pts$11.7mn
strUSD67 days11.7%4.1%+7.6 pts$7.2mn
USD388 days14.3%4.1%+10.1 pts$7.0mn
USDat116 days6.9%4.1%+2.8 pts$5.9mn
sUSDx74 days18.1%4.1%+14.0 pts$5.7mn
wstETH466 days2.1%4.4%-2.3 pts$5.2mn
sUSDD67 days5.3%4.1%+1.2 pts$5.1mn
sENA4 days14.8%4.0%+10.8 pts$5.0mn
reUSDe81 days18.2%4.1%+14.1 pts$4.6mn
srUSDe32 days4.7%4.0%+0.7 pts$4.2mn
sUSDe67 days4.9%4.1%+0.8 pts$3.9mn

Most fixed on-chain rates pay more than a similar-length US government rate, but the middle extra payment is only 5.1 percentage points.

Does the easy yield survive comparison?

Stablecoin lending, Ethereum staking, government bonds and futures payments are separated because each pays for something different.

Fixed on-chain9.0%
Stablecoin lending3.6%
Ethereum staking2.2%
Three-month government4.1%
Futures payment+10.7%

A high rate is only useful when the borrower, time lock and exit are acceptable. The number alone is not the opportunity.

Research by for Charlie Quant Lab · Updated