Thesis Stress Test

11 of 14 supported statements retain another evidence link after the single most-used item in each test is removed. That measures dependence, not whether the thesis is true.

This page takes three bounded research questions, separates documents from numerical records, removes the strongest dependency and shows what remains. It measures evidence dependence—not whether an investment thesis is true.

CLAIM
WHAT
REMAINS
remove support until the claim either holds or breaks
Theses tested33 bounded questions returned
Statements prepared14Facts and controlled calculations
Statements linked14At least one evidence record
Retain another link11 of 14Among supported statements
Evidence records used14Unique links inside statements
Source passages15Retrieved passages
Distinct documents14Across all tests
Market and company records11Dated numerical evidence
Dated events10Filing or policy timeline
Resolved entities5Named subjects
Document-led statements3Carry a document link
Number-led statements11Carry a numerical record
Unused retrieved records12Found but not used in a statement
Largest statement setStrategy and Bitcoin10
Best removal survivalStrategy and Bitcoin90.0%
Weakest removal survivalFederal Reserve policy0.0%
Median source match0.19Relevance, not truth
Newest dated event2026-08-03Across available timelines

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Which statements depend on one item?

The most-used evidence item is removed from each test. A statement survives only if another linked record remains.

ThesisStatementsSurvive removalDocumentsPassagesNumerical recordsDated eventsNewest eventUnused records
Strategy and Bitcoin109 of 10459102026-08-034
Coinbase disclosures32 of 35520Not available4
Federal Reserve policy10 of 15500Not available4

11 of 14 supported statements retain another evidence link after the single most-used item in each test is removed. That measures dependence, not whether the thesis is true.

What this page will not claim

A statement linked to a source is auditable. It is not automatically complete, current or correct.

Strategy and Bitcoin9 of 10
Coinbase disclosures2 of 3
Federal Reserve policy0 of 1

The output remains a review queue until an analyst checks the underlying passages and dates.

Research by for Charlie Quant Lab · Updated