Macro Market Map

Risk markets are mixed: 3 of 5 are higher over 21 sessions, while the credit check moved +0.4%.

This page checks one market against another. It shows who is leading, whether credit confirms the move, whether the dollar is helping or fighting it, and what remains after the strongest market is removed.

Completed market prices through 2026-09-18

RISKSAFETY

ONE MARKET
CHECKS ANOTHERthe headline must survive all four corners

Risk markets rising3 of 5Bitcoin, shares, credit and oil

Typical risk-market move+4.0%Equal weight over 21 sessions

Safer-market move-1.0%Bonds, gold and dollar

Risk minus safety+5.0%Which side is winning

Credit check+0.4%Riskier bonds versus higher-quality bonds

Volatility level14.8Higher than 26% of three years

10-year yield5.00%Higher than 100% of three years

Bitcoin and shares+0.20Daily link over 60 sessions

Bitcoin and dollar-0.39Daily link over 60 sessions

Rates and shares-0.34Daily link over 60 sessions

Strongest marketCL=F+16.9%

Risk move without leader+0.7%Equal weight for the rest

Bitcoin · 21 sessions+3.8%Crypto risk

Oil · 21 sessions+16.9%Growth and inflation check

Dollar · 21 sessions+1.8%Financial-pressure check

Gold · 21 sessions-3.1%Safety and currency check

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Do markets agree?

A macro story is stronger when shares, credit, the dollar, bonds and commodities point in a compatible direction.

Bitcoin+3.8%

US shares-0.7%

Technology+0.7%

Long bonds-1.8%

Riskier bonds-0.9%

Gold-3.1%

Dollar+1.8%

Oil+16.9%

Risk markets are mixed: 3 of 5 are higher over 21 sessions, while the credit check moved +0.4%. The risk group without CL=F moved +0.7%.