Is crypto weakness broad enough to call it winter?

Strength is broad

There is no hidden temperature score. Price trend, borrowed trading, public mood and digital-dollar supply are shown separately because they can disagree.

Price trend5 of 5 above 200-day line
30-day breadth5 of 5 higher
Futures cost4 of 5 positive
Public mood71/100 · Greed
Majors above 200-day line5 of 5Long trend breadth
Majors higher · 30 days5 of 5Recent breadth
Bitcoin from 260-day high-16.6%Damage already suffered
Median funding · 8 hours+0.0077%Current cost of long versus short
Funding positive4 of 5Borrowed-trading breadth
BTC open contracts · 7 days+9.4%Value of open futures contracts
Fear & Greed71/100Greed
Digital-dollar supply · 30 days+1.1%Stock, not money spent

Is price weakness broad?

One Bitcoin chart cannot describe the whole market. These five large coins use the same 200-day and 30-day tests.

CoinLast closeVs 200-day line30 daysFrom 260-day highLong trend
BTC$80,883.87+14.8%+16.7%-16.6%Above
ETH$2,612.14+26.1%+16.0%-22.1%Above
SOL$112.72+34.9%+32.0%-23.2%Above
BNB$761.31+21.2%+21.3%-19.7%Above
XRP$1.40+9.7%+26.2%-40.5%Above

Is borrowed trading adding pressure?

The current funding payment is shown per eight hours. The annual figure only says what that single rate would cost if it never changed; it can change several times a day.

CoinCurrent 8-hour rateIf unchanged for a year
BNB+0.0228%+25.0%
XRP-0.0046%-5.0%
ETH+0.0077%+8.4%
SOL+0.0100%+11.0%
BTC+0.0071%+7.7%

Bitcoin’s open futures value changed +9.4% in seven days. Rising contracts beside falling price can add pressure; falling contracts may simply mean traders closed positions.

Does mood agree with the money?

Public mood is greed, while digital-dollar supply changed +1.1% in 30 days. More stablecoins existing does not prove they were spent on crypto.

What survives the removal test?

0 of five plain checks currently lean cold. There is no cold check to remove today. Funding sits at +0.0074% after removing the most extreme coin, so one contract cannot control the futures reading.

Research by for Charlie Quant Lab · Updated