Cross-Market Signal Lab
7 of 12 markets rose over 21 sessions. Oil futures led; Bitcoin moved +16.8%, and its strongest recent daily link was with Ethereum at +0.88.
This page aligns crypto, share funds, bond funds, the dollar and commodities on the same US market dates. It checks breadth, changing relationships, possible lead-lag clues and what remains without the winner.
BTC
STOCKSDOLLARGOLDRATESthe useful signal is often the market that refuses to follow
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Which market refuses to follow?
Identical dates expose whether crypto is joining a wider move or separating from it.
| Market | 5 sessions | 21 sessions | 63 sessions | 252 sessions | Yearly movement | From yearly high | Buying pressure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil futures | +0.2% | +16.9% | +30.9% | +56.6% | 51.5% | -11.2% | +0.16 |
| Bitcoin | +4.8% | +16.8% | +28.6% | -30.5% | 38.5% | -35.2% | -0.04 |
| Ethereum | +3.8% | +16.0% | +52.8% | -43.1% | 55.0% | -44.3% | -0.01 |
| US 10-year yield | +0.5% | +7.4% | +12.3% | +22.6% | 14.0% | -0.2% | Not available |
| Copper futures | +2.2% | +2.0% | +3.8% | +44.7% | 24.5% | -2.8% | Not available |
| Dollar fund | +1.1% | +1.8% | +0.3% | +7.9% | 5.1% | -0.7% | +0.42 |
| Technology-share fund | +0.9% | +0.7% | -2.5% | +22.9% | 21.3% | -3.2% | +0.14 |
| Equity fear index | -6.5% | -0.5% | -9.7% | -5.8% | 106.0% | -52.3% | Not available |
| US-share fund | -0.1% | -0.7% | +2.3% | +17.1% | 11.7% | -1.8% | +0.03 |
| High-yield bond fund | -0.1% | -0.9% | -0.4% | +2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% | -0.31 |
| Long-bond fund | +0.5% | -1.8% | -5.3% | -5.7% | 9.9% | -8.1% | -0.14 |
| Gold futures | +0.4% | -2.6% | +4.2% | +19.0% | 22.9% | -16.8% | +0.14 |
7 of 12 markets rose over 21 sessions. Oil futures led; Bitcoin moved +16.8%, and its strongest recent daily link was with Ethereum at +0.88.
Does another market move first?
Same-day and one-day-offset links are kept separate. A stronger prior-day link is only a clue worth watching.
A lead-lag pattern must repeat before it becomes useful.