Market Contradiction Lab

Large stablecoin pools pay a value-weighted 3.57% in base interest, -0.41 points versus the three-month Treasury reading. Rewards add 0.41 points, but 48 pools get more than half their displayed yield from rewards.

This page looks for the useful disagreement: high yield with little size, a rate driven by rewards, cash-like returns during a risk sell-off, or a market headline carried by one pool or chain.

FIVE
CONTRADICTIONS
yield, money, price, activity and concentration
Stable pools checked466At least $5m and base rate available
Value in checked pools$40.1bnReported pool value
Base interest3.57%Value weighted
Displayed total yield3.98%Base plus rewards
Reward contribution+0.41 pointsValue weighted
Three-month Treasury3.98%Latest market reading
Base yield minus Treasury-0.41 pointsSimple comparison
Reward-heavy pools48More than half from rewards
Base yield above 10%31Potentially unusual
Largest poolsky-lending$4.4bn
Top ten pool share39.3%Concentration
Largest chain share56.7%Ethereum
Bitcoin · 21 sessions-4.8%Risk appetite control
Gold · 21 sessions-2.8%Outside-market control

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A high yield can tell two stories

Borrower-paid interest and reward tokens are shown separately. Pool size sits beside both.

PoolChainReported valueBase interestRewardsDisplayed totalReward share
sky-lending · SUSDSEthereum$4.4bn3.60%Not available3.60%0%
maple · USDCEthereum$2.7bn4.97%0.00%4.97%0%
circle-usyc · USYCBSC$2.5bn3.20%Not available3.20%0%
ethena-usde · SUSDEEthereum$1.3bn4.68%Not available4.68%0%
ondo-yield-assets · USDYEthereum$1.2bn3.58%Not available3.58%0%
blackrock-buidl · BUIDLSolana$993.2mn3.75%Not available3.75%0%
blackrock-buidl · BUIDLAptos$967.3mn3.44%Not available3.44%0%
maple · USDTEthereum$693.1mn4.75%0.00%4.75%0%
ondo-yield-assets · USDYStellar$536.1mn3.58%Not available3.58%0%
aave-v3 · USDEEthereum$518.9mn0.70%Not available0.70%0%
invesco-ustb · USTBEthereum$516.2mn3.54%Not available3.54%0%
aave-v3 · USDEPlasma$503.3mn0.40%Not available0.40%0%
usd-ai · SUSDAIArbitrum$493.7mn6.93%Not available6.93%0%
blackrock-buidl · BUIDLAvalanche$493.5mn3.75%Not available3.75%0%
sparklend · USDSEthereum$471.0mn2.32%Not available2.32%0%

Large stablecoin pools pay a value-weighted 3.57% in base interest, -0.41 points versus the three-month Treasury reading. Rewards add 0.41 points, but 48 pools get more than half their displayed yield from rewards.

Does the comparison survive the largest pool?

The value-weighted base rate is rebuilt without its biggest pool.

Base interest3.57%
3-month Treasury3.98%
Displayed yield3.98%

Research by for Charlie Quant Lab · Updated